Foreword / by Paul Bilokon -- Prologue -- Introduction -- The basis of everything is water : understanding risk in markets -- Harvesting olives : alpha and beta strategies -- The code of Hammurabi : reducing risk -- Not what they care about : having targets other than returns -- Predicting the eclipse : searching for a black swan and windows of doom -- In the stars : lateral thinking to understand markets -- The Silk Road and its secrets : is there really a secret sauce in trading? -- The father of history : this time is sometimes different in markets -- Herodotus, the father of history -- Markets.